Sunday, February 26, 2012

Final Oscar Predictions!

Today is the day!!! The Academy Awards are on TONIGHT! So that means it’s time for my official Oscar Predictions! Last year I did a pretty good job with my predictions. But this year, even though I saw more movies than last year, I think I’m a little less confident. If you recall, I already made a few predictions on the short film categories over {here}. In today’s post I will move on to the other major categories. But before I get into it I wanted to listen to some last minute advice from other film experts:

Very insightful! And with that, here are my official thoughts and predictions for the 84th Annual Academy Awards. You can see all the nominees {here}.

Best Actor

  • Demián Bichir in "A Better Life"
  • George Clooney in "The Descendants"
  • Jean Dujardin in "The Artist"
  • Gary Oldman in "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy"
  • Brad Pitt in "Moneyball"

While two of these movies were not on the EW list, I added them as “personal additions” and snuck them in at the last minute meaning I was able to see all of these films. There are some great performances in this category. I think Demián Bichir was really great in A Better Life and I think I’m leaning toward personally rooting for him. But I think the frontrunner is Jean Dujardin. I think I would agree for the fact that he did a great job communicating his emotions and the story non-verbally to the audience. But I could also see George or Brad getting it this year…even though I think Bichir’s performance was better than thiers...but yea I’m going to officially say Jean Dujardin will get the win.

Best Actress

  • Glenn Close in "Albert Nobbs"
  • Viola Davis in "The Help"
  • Rooney Mara in "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo"
  • Meryl Streep in "The Iron Lady"
  • Michelle Williams in "My Week with Marilyn"

I was also able to see each of these flims and this category is full of some awesome performances. I saw The Help first and thought Viola was really great, but when I saw Michelle as Marilyn I thought I would be rooting for her take home the Oscar. She was so convincing and you could tell she really prepared for the role. After that I saw Rooney play the kick butt Lizbeth Salander and started to change my mind. I thought my mind changed again. But when I watched Meryl play Margaret Thatcher in The Iron Lady, I knew I was looking at the winner. I think this year it will be another Oscar for Meryl Streep.

Best Supporting Actor

  • Kenneth Branagh in "My Week with Marilyn"
  • Jonah Hill in "Moneyball"
  • Nick Nolte in "Warrior"
  • Christopher Plummer in "Beginners"
  • Max von Sydow in "Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close"

Once again saw each of these films thanks to some last minute additions. I’m not as convinced about a lot of these performances but I think the top two performances for me were Max von Sydow for his performance in Extremely Loud and Nick Nolte in Warrior. Sydow was another one that was able to communicate emotions and move the plot silently. But I found Nolte’s performance the most moving out of all of these. I’m going ahead and picking Nolte for the win.

Best Supporting Actress

  • Bérénice Bejo in "The Artist"
  • Jessica Chastain in "The Help"
  • Melissa McCarthy in "Bridesmaids"
  • Janet McTeer in "Albert Nobbs"
  • Octavia Spencer in "The Help"

Although the makeup department could have made her LOOK a bit more like a man…I think Janet McTeer gave a great performance in Albert Nobbs. However I think the Oscar is going to Octavia Spencer for The Help.

Best Director

  • "The Artist" Michel Hazanavicius
  • "The Descendants" Alexander Payne
  • "Hugo" Martin Scorsese
  • "Midnight in Paris" Woody Allen
  • "The Tree of Life" Terrence Malick

To be honest I am kind of just hoping the Hugo nor Tree of Life win here. I could see Michel Hazanavicius winning for The Artist or Woody Allen winning for Midnight in Paris. But I’m going to officially predict Hazanavicius will take home the gold statue in this category.

Best Animated Film

  • "A Cat in Paris" Alain Gagnol and Jean-Loup Felicioli
  • "Chico & Rita" Fernando Trueba and Javier Mariscal
  • "Kung Fu Panda 2" Jennifer Yuh Nelson
  • "Puss in Boots" Chris Miller
  • "Rango" Gore Verbinski

Unfortunately I didn’t see all of these films but I did see Rango and Kung Fu Panda 2. I wasn’t overly impressed with either so I’m wondering if Puss in Boots has a shot at this one. Out of the two I saw I think Kung Fu Panda 2 was better although the actual animation in Rango was very good. This category is a bit of a shot in the dark for me. I guess because I actually liked this one better out of the two I saw, and it was named on EW’s list, I will go with an official prediction of Kung Fu Panda 2 for the win.

Writing (Original)

  • "The Artist" Written by Michel Hazanavicius
  • "Bridesmaids" Written by Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig
  • "Margin Call" Written by J.C. Chandor
  • "Midnight in Paris" Written by Woody Allen
  • "A Separation" Written by Asghar Farhadi

I did not get to see A Separation or Margin Call, but I think The Artist is another frontrunner here being a silent film. I could see Bridesmaids winning this one if the Academy wants to throw an award its way. Even though there were some silly scenes for my taste I actually really liked the story in Bridesmaids and I think this would be a great candidate for the win. I’m going to go out on a limb and make it official. I'm going to pick a bit of an underdog, Bridesmaids, for the win here.

Writing (Adapted)

  • "The Descendants" Screenplay by Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash
  • "Hugo" Screenplay by John Logan
  • "The Ides of March" Screenplay by George Clooney & Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon
  • "Moneyball" Screenplay by Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin; Story by Stan Chervin
  • "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy" Screenplay by Bridget O'Connor & Peter Straughan

I don’t think it’s going to win but my personal favorite here would be The Ides of March. I don’t want Hugo to get this one because I have a feeling the book (from what I hear from others) is amazing and I don’t think I got “amazing” from the writing of Hugo. I think the top two most likely to win here are Moneyball and The Descendants. But I think I’m going to predict Moneyball for this one.

Best Picture

  • "The Artist" Thomas Langmann, Producer
  • "The Descendants" Jim Burke, Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor, Producers
  • "Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close" Scott Rudin, Producer
  • "The Help" Brunson Green, Chris Columbus and Michael Barnathan, Producers
  • "Hugo" Graham King and Martin Scorsese, Producers
  • "Midnight in Paris" Letty Aronson and Stephen Tenenbaum, Producers
  • "Moneyball" Michael De Luca, Rachael Horovitz and Brad Pitt, Producers
  • "The Tree of Life" Sarah Green, Bill Pohlad, Dede Gardner and Grant Hill, Producers
  • "War Horse" Steven Spielberg and Kathleen Kennedy, Producers

I personally would like to see The Help win the big prize this year. I think it was my favorite movie that I watched over the mission. However I think The Artist will be Best Picture of the year…which I would be fine with. It was a different, cute, fun and moving. It would definitely be one of my top choices for the win. Anyway…I’m personally rooting for The Help, but I officially predict The Artist will win.

And there you have it! I’ll be watching the big show tonight and most likely tweeting about it if you follow me on Twitter! Do you agree with my predictions or thoughts? Let me know in the comments!

PS – I think one of my favorite YouTubers DailyGrace probably should have been following my blog!

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